Stocks across sectors, especially in Tech, Healthcare, Financial Services, Energy, and Consumer have been delivering differential returns over the last years including in 2021, 2022, and Q1- early Q4 2024. Most stocks reached their record highs in December 2021. Then in 2022 and up to mid-Q1 2023, stock growth has become broadly negative across most sectors, except energy. The major stock market indices were also impacted. Since then, many stocks across all sectors, along with the key market indices have been on the rise, trying to reach the 2021 levels. A sample of key stocks to watch, as identified by AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning and NLP capabilities of AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™, have shown resilience and sometimes outperforming most of the stocks and the stock market indices.
The stock market lost momentum since December 2021 while the oil industry has gained following the increasing market volatility, inflation, interest rates, world events, and other dynamics. AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning Time Series capabilities, including Support Vector Machine, Econometrics, and Dominance Analysis of AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™, has looked at the trends of the stock prices of 21 selected companies between Q4 2021 and Q4 2023 and came up with insights and projections on the dynamics. The insights are presented below (for disclaimer and terms, check AroniSoft website).
A little bit of the usual investment research before coming back to AroniSmart™'s findings.
Most of the stocks experienced a negative growth for November 2023 vs Dec 2021. Only a very few stocks like NVDA, XOM, UBER showed a momentum. However, compared to Dec 2022, most stocks have gained a positive momentum, especially the technology stocks such as AAPL, GOOG, TSLA, META, NVDA, AMD, SOFI, NFLX and others such as UBER, and ABNB. Several stocks, especially in Healthcare and Banking have been on a downward trend. The sample includes PFE, MRNA, and BAC.
The indices have experienced improving trend with the following performances, as Nov 24, 2023 vs Dec 2021 and Dec 2022:
- NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC): -9% and 36%
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI): -3% and 7%
- S&P 500 (^GSPC): -4% and 19%
- Crude Oil index (CL=F): -1% and - 6%
- Russell 2000 (^RUT): -19% and 3%
- Gold Dec 23 (GC=F): 10% and 10%
- Silver Dec 23 (SI=F): 4% and 2%
- CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No (^TNX): 196% and 15%
Figure 1: Stocks and Indices Performance November 2023 vs Dec 2021 and Dec 2022
Although most of the key market indices are still below the December 2021 levels, NASDAQ, the Technology heavy market index, and SP500 appear to be significantly regaining a positive momentum. The oil industry appears to be losing its earlier momentum. Interest rates remain on rise, but the growth has slowed down, over 2023. Gold (GC=F) and Sliver (SI=F) indices remain in positive territories for the two periods.
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AroniSmart™ team analyzed the performance dynamics of a sample of stocks to watch, leveraging the Support Vector Machine and Dominance Analysis capabilities, NLP and Sentiment Analysis of AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ and uncovered interesting insights. The analysis will include two parts. This first part of the analysis focuses on the NLP and Sentiment Analysis of the stock market in general. In the second part, AroniSmart™ team analyzed the performance of internally selected stocks from Dec 2021 to November 24, 2023. Below is the selected sample for the Support Vector Machine and Dominance Analysis capabilities.
Fiigure 2: Market Indices and Selected Stocks Sample
The insights below will focus on the first part: Sentiment and NLP Analysis of the Stock market as of November 24, 2023. The second part will follow in upcoming articles.
Dynamics and Trends at the end of November 2023.
The key findings highlight: Most of the stocks highlighted in early Q4 2023 analyses continue to drive the dynamics. Most continue to experience a significant increase after a decline in the last weeks of October 2023 (AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ Stock Market Sentiment and NLP Analysis: Market Sentiment and Highlighted Stocks in Mid November 2023).
Trend wise, most of the gains that happened in late July - early August 2023, were impacted in mid-August 2023 and September 2023 and but seemed to come back in the first week of Q4 2024, before stepping back and then fueling the upward trend in November 2023.
The insights below are based on the data as of November 24, 2023. AroniSmar™t team will continue to update detailed analyses.
AroniSmartInvest Modules
AroniSmartIntelligence Modules
Market Segments
Market Profile Stocks to Watch: Apple
Market Profile: Apple 2
Market Profile and Sentiment: Key Stocks to Watch and Tags
Market Profile and Sentiment: Positivitty and Heavy Word Tags
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AroniSmartIntelligence, the leading tool for Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning & Data Science
Statisticians, Data Scientists, Business and Financial Analysts, Savvy Investors, Engineers, Researchers, Students, Teachers, Economists, Political Analysts, and most of the practitioners use Advanced Analytics to answer questions, to support informed decision making or to learn.
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Bayesian Modeling and NLP analysis: Stocks to Watch and High, Short, and Long Term Growth Stocks
Stocks Bayesian Network View: Watch, Long Growth
Sentiment and Tags: Sttocks Short and Hiigh Growth
More detailed analyses can be conducted using AroniSmartIntelligence™ Big Data, Machine Learning, Time Series and Sentiment Analysis capabilities.
For more on AroniSmartIntelligence and AroniSmartInvest capabilities, visit AroniSoft web site by clicking here. AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence ™ are available on Apple's App Store.
©2023 AroniSoft LLC
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GET ARONISMARTINTELLIGENCE™ on App Store
AroniSmartIntelligence™, the leading tool for Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning & Data Science
Statisticians, Data Scientists, Business and Financial Analysts, Savvy Investors, Engineers, Researchers, Students, Teachers, Economists, Political Analysts, and most of the practitioners use Advanced Analytics to answer questions, to support informed decision making or to learn.
AroniSmartIntelligence™ is a leading Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning and Data Science tool, with optimized cutting edge Statistics models, Econometrics, Big Data and Text Analytics.
AronismartIntelligence™ includes modules covering Machine Learning and Big Data mining, Unstructured Text Analysis, Sentiment and Emotion Analytics, Bayesian Statistics and other advanced analytics.
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