Stocks across industries have been experienced an upward momentum in December 2023. The dynamics followed the challenges at the end of Q3 2023 , when all the key market indices, excluding Crude Oil (CL=F) and 10-Yr Bond (^TNX), declined from the top reached in late July 2023. As Q4 2023 started, the declines at the end of Q3 2023 started slowing down. By the second week of December 2023 the stocks prices have been on the rise. The positive momentum correspond to the diminishing challenges, with the stocks and indices pushing through the month with significant improvement in performances. Hence, the stock market appears to adjust to the previous dynamics that have been leading to increasing market volatility, including inflation, world events, and other challenges that started in late Q2 2022 and in October 2023. On December 11, 2023, AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the NLP, Text and Sentiment Analysis, Machine Learning Econometrics and Time Series capabilities and Dominance Analysis of AroniSmartInvest ™ and AroniSmartIntelligence™, looked at the stock markets news and trends.
Q4 2023 has been pushing forward with resilience, after a period with complex dynamics and given the current market factors, including the wars around the World, the US political situation, inflation and interest rates, and earnings seasons.
The stock market experienced an upward momentum in the first week of Q4 2023. However, in the second week, there were some unexpected world challenges with potential impact on Oil prices, technology, inflation, consumer confidence, and the projections following the upcoming earnings reports. These challenges impacted all the stock indices.
November 2023 ended with significant declines across all market indices, except Silver Dec 23 (SI=F) and Gold Dec 23 (GC=F).
In December 2023, the indices resumed their growth, experiencing improving trend with the following performances, Year-to-Date (YTD) as of December 11, 2023:
- NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC): 36.96%
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI): 8.49%
- S&P 500 (^GSPC): 19.45%
- Crude Oil index (CL=F): - 5.35%
- Russell 2000 (^RUT): 3.33%
- Gold Dec 23 (GC=F): 12.00%
- Silver Dec 23 (SI=F): 13.25%
- CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No (^TNX): 12.19%
Since the beginning of December 2023, the performance among the market indices has been rising, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) by 0.29%, the Nasdaq (^IXIC) by 1.77%, S&P 500 (^GSPC) by 0.90%, Russel 2000 (^RUT), by 0.69%.
Going forward, with inflation now receding and the job market slowing down, the Federal Reserve is expected to end the rate hikes. This action may sustain the stability of the market. The Federal Reserve will have its upcoming meeting on December 13, 2023.
The results of the analysis using both AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ are below:
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Dynamics and Trends in Mid Q4 2023.
The key findings highlight: Most of the stocks highlighted in early Q4 2023 analyses continued to drive the dynamics as Q4 2023 is ending. Most saw a significant increase after a decline in the last weeks of October 2023 (AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ Stock Market Sentiment and NLP Analysis: Market Sentiment and Highlighted Stocks in Early Q4 2023).
Trend wise, most of the gains that happened in late July - early August 2023, were impacted in mid-August 2023 and September 2023 and but have come back in the first week of Q4 2024, before stepping back and then fueling the upward trend in November and early December 2023.
The insights below are based on the data as of December 11, 2023. AroniSmart™ team will continue to update detailed analyses.
AroniSmartInvest Modules
AroniSmartIntelligence Modules
Market Segments
Market Profile Stocks to Watch
Market Profile: Short Term Growth Stocks
Market Profile: High Performing Stocks
Market Profile: Long Term Stocks
Market Profile: Reversal Up Stocks
Market and Stock Segmentation
Market Profile and Sentiment: Key Stocks to Watch and Tags
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AroniSmartIntelligence, the leading tool for Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning & Data Science
Statisticians, Data Scientists, Business and Financial Analysts, Savvy Investors, Engineers, Researchers, Students, Teachers, Economists, Political Analysts, and most of the practitioners use Advanced Analytics to answer questions, to support informed decision making or to learn.
AroniSmartIntelligence™ is a leading Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning and Data Science tool, with optimized cutting edge Statistics models, Econometrics, Big Data and Text Analytics.
AronismartIntelligence™ includes modules covering Machine Learning and Big Data mining, Unstructured Text Analysis, Sentiment and Emotion Analytics, Bayesian Statistics and other advanced analytics.
Sentiment Analysis: Stocks to watch A - C
Sentiment Analysis: Stocks to watch C - H
Sentiment Analysis: Stocks to watch H - O
Sentiment Analysis: Stocks to watch O - T and Word Tags
Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags T - Z
NLP Sentiment Analysis: Key Word Tags
Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags A - D
Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags D - H
Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags H - L
Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags L - P
Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags P - S
Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags S - U
Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags U - Z
Bayesian Modeling and NLP analysis: Stocks to Watch and High, Short, and Long Term Growth Stocks
Stocks Bayesian Network View: Watch, High Performing and Short Growth
Sentiment and Tags: Some Stocks to Watch and Key Tags Sentiment - Rectangular View
Sentiment and Tags: Positivity and Some Stocks to Watch - Circular View.
More detailed analyses can be conducted using AroniSmartIntelligence™ Big Data, Machine Learning, Time Series and Sentiment Analysis capabilities.
For more on AroniSmartIntelligence and AroniSmartInvest capabilities, visit AroniSoft web site by clicking here. AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence ™ are available on Apple's App Store.
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GET ARONISMARTINTELLIGENCE™ on App Store
AroniSmartIntelligence™, the leading tool for Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning & Data Science
Statisticians, Data Scientists, Business and Financial Analysts, Savvy Investors, Engineers, Researchers, Students, Teachers, Economists, Political Analysts, and most of the practitioners use Advanced Analytics to answer questions, to support informed decision making or to learn.
AroniSmartIntelligence™ is a leading Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning and Data Science tool, with optimized cutting edge Statistics models, Econometrics, Big Data and Text Analytics.
AronismartIntelligence™ includes modules covering Machine Learning and Big Data mining, Unstructured Text Analysis, Sentiment and Emotion Analytics, Bayesian Statistics and other advanced analytics.
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